Delay in monsoon to arrive in Kerala? IMD releases new date

THIRUVANANTHAPURAM: The arrival of the southwest monsoon in Kerala is likely to be delayed. This is clarified in the latest forecast of the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The new report says that the surface easterly winds required for a strong monsoon are likely to form fully over South India only after June 5-6.

The monsoon in Kerala will not start with heavy rain. Rather, it is reported that it will be very light or weak. It will only gain strength gradually. The monsoon lasts from June to September. The monsoon rains are caused by the humid winds blowing from the Indian Ocean.

The Global Forecast System (GFS) is a new computer model used by the IMD to examine the monsoon. It carefully examines the information in the atmosphere and predicts weather changes days in advance. According to their latest findings, the monsoon will still be late. The reason for this is the moisture-laden winds from the west. These are called 'Western Disturbances'. Only when this wind completely changes can the easterly winds required for the monsoon strengthen over South India. Until then, the initial monsoon flow over Kerala will remain very weak.

So, it may take a few more days for the monsoon to strengthen in Kerala. The arrival of the monsoon this year continues to be unpredictable. First, the forecast was for May 26, then it was shifted to June 3. People are worried that the monsoon will be delayed even further.